Why Is India Quietly Boosting Ties with Afghanistan's Taliban?

Commentary

Mar 14, 2025

An Afghanistan flag flies over the now-closed embassy of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan in New Delhi, India, September 29,, 2023, photo by Naveen Sharma / SOPA Images/Sipa USA via Reuters

An Afghanistan flag flies over the now-closed embassy of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan in New Delhi, India, September 29,, 2023

Photo by Naveen Sharma / SOPA Images/Sipa USA via Reuters

This commentary was originally published by Nikkei Asia on March 14, 2025.

The Taliban's reconquest of Afghanistan following the U.S. military's withdrawal in August 2021 generated serious strategic concerns for India. No longer would New Delhi have a friendly Afghan government in place. Nor would it benefit from having U.S. troops on the ground to serve as a bulwark against instability and terrorism, especially against groups seeking India's harm, such as Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) and Jaish-e-Mohammed (JeM). And now, India's top rivals—China and Pakistan—are trying to fill the power vacuum, with potentially significant economic and security consequences.…

The remainder of this commentary is available at asia.nikkei.com.

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Derek Grossman is a senior defense analyst at RAND and an adjunct professor in the practice of political science and international relations at the University of Southern California. He formerly served as an intelligence adviser at the Pentagon.