Vietnam

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Commentary

Nov 23, 2024

Trump 2.0 Could Give China a Headache in Southeast Asia

Over the next four years, President-elect Trump is highly likely to accelerate his Indo-Pacific strategy in Southeast Asia by strengthening alliances and partnerships, consistent with his first term. His transactional approach might help to boost this strategy, too.
Research

Nov 20, 2024

Understanding and Countering China's Maritime Gray Zone Operations

The authors identify approaches for the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command to counter Chinese maritime gray zone operations, which China uses to take control of large portions of the South China Sea while avoiding a conventional U.S. military response.
Research

Nov 20, 2024

How the United States Can Support Allied and Partner Efforts to Counter China in the Gray Zone: Affirmative Engagement

This report summarizes the tactics and approaches taken by several countries in Southeast and East Asia — Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan, and Vietnam — in response to China's coercive actions in the gray zone.
Commentary

Jul 15, 2024

The Philippines' and Vietnam's South China Sea Strategies Have Failed

There is no silver bullet to resolving China's rising assertiveness throughout the South China Sea. But what is obvious at this point is that neither transparency as with the Philippines, nor opacity as with Vietnam, is working.
Research

Jun 26, 2024

Cognitive Domain Operations Against Vietnam Hint at Broader Ambitions

The People's Liberation Army (PLA) is updating and expanding its efforts to target countries with cyber-enabled Influence Operations. It is already planning for IO against Vietnam, while similar efforts are likely underway against Burma and India.
Commentary

Dec 20, 2023

Vietnam's Show of Welcome for Xi Reflects Growing Self-Confidence

Chinese leader Xi Jinping's recent visit to Vietnam aimed to reinvigorate bilateral ties, but produced mixed outcomes. Hanoi and Beijing signed a number of substantive bilateral deals, but Vietnam is also strengthening partnerships with other strategically significant nations, complicating any future Chinese aggression.
Commentary

Oct 6, 2023

Can Vietnam Help America Counter China?

The United States should not count on Vietnam to help counter China. But the fact that Hanoi chose to elevate the U.S.-Vietnam partnership is a strong indication of its growing concerns about Beijing's rising assertiveness. If China becomes more aggressive, it could create new opportunities for Hanoi to strengthen the U.S. relationship.
Commentary

Sep 18, 2023

With ASEAN Paralyzed, Southeast Asia Seeks New Security Ties

The Association of Southeast Asian Nations tirelessly proclaims its centrality to the region, but its inability to develop a coherent response to Chinese aggression or the crisis in Myanmar has effectively killed that claim. ASEAN members will inevitably continue to seek out alternative paths.
Commentary

May 12, 2023

Biden Hopes for Vietnam Breakthrough

The United States wants to intensify U.S.-Vietnam ties, because the two countries share long-term strategic interests. Vietnam seems perfectly fine with things dragging on for years in their current state, avoiding a final decision, or even getting cold feet in the end. Washington would be wise to manage expectations for now.
Commentary

Apr 11, 2023

As China Ascends, Concerns Grow It Might Be Tempted into a 'Splendid Little War'

When a nation newly ascends or returns to the status of a leading international power, it often feels the need to publicly demonstrate its rise through a brief, victorious war. Today, China's increasing strength may tempt it to pursue such a conflict, and not necessarily with Taiwan, if it anticipates that victory will be swift, decisive, and demonstrative.
Research

Mar 9, 2023

Proxy Warfare in Strategic Competition: Military Implications

The authors examine the military implications of intrastate proxy wars (civil wars in which at least one local warring party receives material support from an external state) via a literature review and four case studies.
Commentary

Jan 10, 2023

Biden's Southeast Asia Policy Improves in Second Year, but Still Much to Do

In 2022, the Biden administration stepped up its game in Southeast Asia by showing up in person, clarifying its approach in key strategy documents, and boosting cooperation. But one obvious problem that remains is that it still has no real economic strategy to counter China in the region.

Vietnam

Vietnam

Explore RAND’s Work on this Topic

Error

Trump 2.0 Could Give China a Headache in Southeast Asia

Understanding and Countering China's Maritime Gray Zone Operations

How the United States Can Support Allied and Partner Efforts to Counter China in the Gray Zone: Affirmative Engagement

The Philippines' and Vietnam's South China Sea Strategies Have Failed

Cognitive Domain Operations Against Vietnam Hint at Broader Ambitions

Vietnam's Show of Welcome for Xi Reflects Growing Self-Confidence

Can Vietnam Help America Counter China?

With ASEAN Paralyzed, Southeast Asia Seeks New Security Ties

Biden Hopes for Vietnam Breakthrough

As China Ascends, Concerns Grow It Might Be Tempted into a 'Splendid Little War'

Proxy Warfare in Strategic Competition: Military Implications

Biden's Southeast Asia Policy Improves in Second Year, but Still Much to Do

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Vietnam

Vietnam

Explore RAND’s Work on this Topic

Error

Trump 2.0 Could Give China a Headache in Southeast Asia

Understanding and Countering China's Maritime Gray Zone Operations

How the United States Can Support Allied and Partner Efforts to Counter China in the Gray Zone: Affirmative Engagement

The Philippines' and Vietnam's South China Sea Strategies Have Failed

Cognitive Domain Operations Against Vietnam Hint at Broader Ambitions

Vietnam's Show of Welcome for Xi Reflects Growing Self-Confidence

Can Vietnam Help America Counter China?

With ASEAN Paralyzed, Southeast Asia Seeks New Security Ties

Biden Hopes for Vietnam Breakthrough

As China Ascends, Concerns Grow It Might Be Tempted into a 'Splendid Little War'

Proxy Warfare in Strategic Competition: Military Implications

Biden's Southeast Asia Policy Improves in Second Year, but Still Much to Do

Oops! An unexpected error has occurred.