David A. Shlapak — Publications
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Ho'okele Mua II, a Wargame on Climate Change and Operational Risk in INDOPACOM
2025
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Climate Futures and South Asia 2042: Hazard Card Climate Game
2024
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Gathering Geopolitical Storms — Can Technology Help Save the World Order? Insights from a Tabletop Exercise at the 2024 Munich Security Conference
2024
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Measuring China's Science and Technology Progress: A Framework for Assessing Advances Affecting Military Capability
2024
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Technology Innovation, Economic Growth, and Geopolitics Policy Options for South Korea: A Policy Game
2024
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Wargaming Climate Change: A Structure for Incorporating Physical and Social Effects into Strategic Military Planning
2024
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Designing A Strange Game: A Nuclear Wargame for the 21st Century
2023
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Network Logistics Games: Design and Implementation
2023
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How Not to Dismantle an Atomic Bomb: A Realistic Approach for Dealing with North Korea's Nuclear Weapons
2021
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America's Strategy-Resource Mismatch: Addressing the Gaps Between U.S. National Strategy and Military Capacity
2019
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NATO's Amphibious Forces: Command and Control of a Multibrigade Alliance Task Force
2019
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The Russian Challenge
2018
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Deterring Russian Aggression in the Baltic States: What it Takes to Win: Addendum
2017
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Deterring Russian Aggression in the Baltic States: What it Takes to Win
2017
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Exploring Cyber Security Policy Options in Australia
2017
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Serious Analytical Gaming: The 360° Game for Multidimensional Analysis of Complex Problems
2017
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A Framework for Exploring Cybersecurity Policy Options
2016
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Reinforcing Deterrence on NATO's Eastern Flank: Wargaming the Defense of the Baltics
2016
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Rethinking Russia's Threat to NATO
2016
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Chinese Attacks on U.S. Air Bases in Asia: An Assessment of Relative Capabilities, 1996–2017
2015
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Chinese Threats to U.S. Surface Ships: An Assessment of Relative Capabilities, 1996–2017
2015
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Tallying the U.S.-China Military Scorecard: Relative Capabilities and the Evolving Balance of Power, 1996–2017
2015
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U.S. and Chinese Air Superiority Capabilities: An Assessment of Relative Advantage, 1996–2017
2015
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The U.S.-China Military Scorecard: Forces, Geography, and the Evolving Balance of Power, 1996–2017
2015
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Developing a U.S. Strategy for Dealing with China — Now and into the Future
2014
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Enhanced Army Airborne Forces: A New Joint Operational Capability
2014
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The U.S. Army in Asia, 2030-2040
2014
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What’s the Potential for Conflict with China, and How Can It Be Avoided?
2012
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Conflict with China: Prospects, Consequences, and Strategies for Deterrence
2011
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Questions of Balance: The Shifting Cross-Strait Balance and Implications for the U.S.
2010
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A Question of Balance: Political Context and Military Aspects of the China-Taiwan Dispute
2009
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America's Security Challenges Require a New Division of Labor Among the Armed Forces
2007
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How Taiwan's Status Is Resolved Will Determine Whether U.S.-China Relations Are Cooperative or Hostile
2007
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A New Division of Labor: Meeting America's Security Challenges Beyond Iraq
2007
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U.S.-China Relations After Resolution of Taiwan's Status
2007
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Emerging Security Environment Requires Sophisticated Intelligence, Rapid Response, and Long-Range Capabilities
2006
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Shaping the Future Air Force
2006
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U.S. Interests in Central Asia: Policy Priorities and Military Roles
2005
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U.S. Military Has Important but Limited Long-Term Role in Central Asia
2005
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A Global Access Strategy for the U.S. Air Force
2002
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Strategic Appraisal: United States Air and Space Power in the 21st Century
2002
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Persian Gulf Security: Improving Allied Military Contributions
2001
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The United States and Asia: Toward a New U.S. Strategy and Force Posture
2001
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Dire Strait? : Military Aspects of the China-Taiwan Confrontation and Options for U.S. Policy
2000
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Global Access: Strategy 2000
2000
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The United States and a Rising China: Strategic and Military Implications
1999
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The Implications of the Possible End of the Arab-Israeli Conflict for Gulf Security
1997
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Enhancing Air Power’s Contribution Against Light Infantry Targets
1996
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Finding Needles in Haystacks: Enhancing Air Power's Contribution Against Light Infantry
1996
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A Framework for Precision Conventional Strike in Post-Cold War Military Strategy
1996
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''Check Six begins on the ground'': Responding to the Evolving Ground Threat to U.S. Air Force Bases
1995
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Perspectives on Theater Air Campaign Planning
1995
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Planning for Theater Air Campaigns
1995
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Back to First Principles: U.S. Strategic Forces in the Emerging Environment
1993
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Assessing the Structure and Mix of Future Active and Reserve Forces: Final Report to the Secretary of Defense
1992
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Adapting the RAND Strategy Assessment System to Force Assessment Studies in the Joint Staff
1991
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Possible Postwar Force Requirements for the Persian Gulf: How Little Is Enough?
1991
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Sample Campaign Plans and Staff Assessments for NATO's Southern Region
1989
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Green Agent User's Guide
1988
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Building Confidence and Security in Europe
1987
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Testing the Effects of Confidence- and Security-Building Measures in a Crisis: Two Political-Military Games
1987
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Plan Synchronization in the RSAC Environment
1986
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The RAND Strategy Assessment System's Green Agent Model of Third-Country Behavior in Superpower Crises and Conflict
1986
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The RAND Strategy Assessment Center and the future of simulation and gaming
1985
