Preparing the U.S. Coast Guard for Future Gray-Zone Competition

Project Evergreen Analysis

Eric Cooper, Scott Savitz, Aaron C. Davenport, Peggy Wilcox, Emily Hoch, Camille Reeves, Phoebe Felicia Pham, Annette Prieto, Susan A. Resetar, Sara Stullken, et al.

ResearchPublished Apr 28, 2025

This report analyzes how the U.S. Coast Guard can contribute to supporting national strategic priorities throughout the 2020s and 2030s by enforcing the rules-based order and deterring aggressive behavior in the maritime domain to reduce ambiguity in the gray zone by the 2040s. This report is a part of the broader strategic foresight effort, Project Evergreen VI.

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RAND Style Manual

Cooper, Eric, Scott Savitz, Aaron C. Davenport, Peggy Wilcox, Emily Hoch, Camille Reeves, Phoebe Felicia Pham, Annette Prieto, Susan A. Resetar, Sara Stullken, Dulani Woods, Emily Yoder, Michelle D. Ziegler, and Melissa Bauman, Preparing the U.S. Coast Guard for Future Gray-Zone Competition: Project Evergreen Analysis, Homeland Security Operational Analysis Center operated by the RAND Corporation, RR-A3019-1, 2025. As of April 30, 2025: https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA3019-1.html

Chicago Manual of Style

Cooper, Eric, Scott Savitz, Aaron C. Davenport, Peggy Wilcox, Emily Hoch, Camille Reeves, Phoebe Felicia Pham, Annette Prieto, Susan A. Resetar, Sara Stullken, Dulani Woods, Emily Yoder, Michelle D. Ziegler, and Melissa Bauman, Preparing the U.S. Coast Guard for Future Gray-Zone Competition: Project Evergreen Analysis. Homeland Security Operational Analysis Center operated by the RAND Corporation, 2025. https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA3019-1.html.
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This research was sponsored by the U.S. Coast Guard and conducted in the Infrastructure, Immigration, and Security Operations Program of the Homeland Security Research Division(HSRD).

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