Joel B. Predd — Publications

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Artificial General Intelligence's Five Hard National Security Problems

2025
Thinking Through Protracted War with China: Nine Scenarios

2025
PRC Shipbuilding: Naval and Commercial: A Working Paper Exploring the Relationship Between China's Naval and Commercial Shipbuilding

2024
Acquiring a Mosaic Force: Issues, Options, and Trade-Offs

2021
Is the Defense Acquisition System Postured to Solve National Defense Strategy Operational Problems?

2021
Building a Broader Evidence Base for Defense Acquisition Policymaking

2020
Enhancing Assessments of Space Mission Assurance

2020
Do Differing Analyses Change the Decision? Using a Game to Assess Whether Differing Analytic Approaches Improve Decisionmaking

2019
What Role Can Land-Based, Multi-Domain Anti-Access/Area Denial Forces Play in Deterring or Defeating Aggression?

2017
Australia's Naval Shipbuilding Enterprise: Preparing for the 21st Century

2015
Lessons Learned from the Afghan Mission Network: Developing a Coalition Contingency Network

2014
Assessing Aegis Program Transition to an Open-Architecture Model

2013
Using Pattern Analysis and Systematic Randomness to Allocate U.S. Border Security Resources

2012
Australia's Domestic Submarine Design Capabilities: Options for the Future Submarine

2011
Australia's Submarine Design Capabilities and Capacities: Challenges and Options for the Future Submarine

2011
Measuring the Effectiveness of Border Security Between Ports-of-Entry

2010
Toward a Cognitive Analysis of Insider Threats: An Examination of User Password Choice

2009

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Joel B. Predd — Publications

Artificial General Intelligence's Five Hard National Security Problems

Thinking Through Protracted War with China: Nine Scenarios

PRC Shipbuilding: Naval and Commercial: A Working Paper Exploring the Relationship Between China's Naval and Commercial Shipbuilding

Acquiring a Mosaic Force: Issues, Options, and Trade-Offs

Is the Defense Acquisition System Postured to Solve National Defense Strategy Operational Problems?

Building a Broader Evidence Base for Defense Acquisition Policymaking

Enhancing Assessments of Space Mission Assurance

Do Differing Analyses Change the Decision? Using a Game to Assess Whether Differing Analytic Approaches Improve Decisionmaking

What Role Can Land-Based, Multi-Domain Anti-Access/Area Denial Forces Play in Deterring or Defeating Aggression?

Australia's Naval Shipbuilding Enterprise: Preparing for the 21st Century

Lessons Learned from the Afghan Mission Network: Developing a Coalition Contingency Network

Assessing Aegis Program Transition to an Open-Architecture Model

Using Pattern Analysis and Systematic Randomness to Allocate U.S. Border Security Resources

Australia's Domestic Submarine Design Capabilities: Options for the Future Submarine

Australia's Submarine Design Capabilities and Capacities: Challenges and Options for the Future Submarine

Measuring the Effectiveness of Border Security Between Ports-of-Entry

Toward a Cognitive Analysis of Insider Threats: An Examination of User Password Choice