Expert Insights

Apr 30, 2025

Institutional Risk Analysis Maturity at the U. S. Department of Homeland Security: Risk Maturity Across Federal Organizations

This paper presents an evaluation of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security’s risk analysis maturity compared with that of other federal entities, including policy, organizational, personnel, and resource aspects.

Rebecca Tisherman, Henry H. Willis, Jo Caulkins, Sankalp Kumar
Apr 24, 2025

Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty and the Great Acceleration: The Role of Experts and Policy Analysis in a World in Transition

How should policy analysis best inform society’s attempts to navigate tumultuous times? Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty can provide vital information while helping repair broken conversations among experts, decisionmakers, and the public.

Robert J. Lempert
Apr 24, 2025

Documenting Cloud Labs and Examining How Remotely Operated Automated Laboratories Could Enable Bad Actors

In this paper, the authors provide an overview of 15 cloud labs around the world—research labs for remote execution of experiments—and discuss how this technology could enable bad actors in developing and proliferating chemical or biological weapons.

Ying-Chiang Jeffrey Lee, Bria Persaud, Barbara Del Castello, Allison Berke, Gustavs Zilgalvis
Apr 23, 2025

Charting Multiple Courses to Artificial General Intelligence

The potential emergence of artificial general intelligence (AGI) has important national security implications. The authors examine barriers to scaling to AGI from large language models and how AGI may emerge from other technologies.

William Marcellino, Lav Varshney, Anton Shenk, Nicolas M. Robles, Benjamin Boudreaux
Apr 17, 2025

U.S. Options for Identifying Third-Party Suppliers to Meet Ally and Partner Capability Needs

The paper provides perspectives on the circumstances in which the United States might be unable to provide an acceptable solution to address an ally’s or partner’s capability need and how to support identifying and selecting third-party suppliers.

Aidan Winn, Caitlin McCulloch, Jennifer D. P. Moroney, Stephanie Pezard, David E. Thaler, Beth Grill, Krystyna Marcinek, Lauren Kelly
Apr 16, 2025

Central Bank Digital Currency Design Choices and Effect on Law Enforcement: Key Insights

The introduction of a U.S. Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) could have effects on law enforcement. This paper identifies key design choices and law enforcement techniques that may need to evolve if a U.S. CBDC is launched.

Jim Mignano, Daniel Egel, Phoebe Rose Levine, Daniel Cunningham, Brian A. Jackson, John S. Hollywood, Lucy L. Thomson, Dulani Woods
Apr 2, 2025

A New Agenda for School Safety Research: Insights from a RAND Roundtable Discussion

This paper summarizes challenges and future directions for K–12 school safety from a roundtable discussion that explored the multifaceted nature of school safety issues and identified actionable research priorities for the future.

Pauline Moore, Brian A. Jackson, Melissa Kay Diliberti
Mar 31, 2025

Hezbollah's Networks in Latin America: Potential Implications for U.S. Policy and Research

This author explores Hezbollah's operational footprint in Latin America — focusing on illicit funding mechanisms, violent operations, and key operational hubs — and situates it within Iran's regional diplomatic, economic, and cultural activities.

Marzia Giambertoni
Mar 10, 2025

Policy Options to Prevent the Creation of Mirror Organisms

Ongoing research could lead to the creation of mirror organisms, whose molecular components are mirror images of those found in nature. This paper examines policy options to prevent their creation, given the potential risks such organisms pose.

Gerald L. Epstein, Forrest W. Crawford, Sella Nevo
Mar 5, 2025

To Improve Hebrew Proficiency Among Arabs in Israel, Make It Worthwhile

In Israel, Arab citizens’ limited Hebrew proficiency is considered an obstacle to their socioeconomic integration. However, without removing structural barriers to Arab citizens’ socioeconomic ascent, Hebrew proficiency will remain a limited tool.

Katya Migacheva, Jennifer J. Li
Mar 3, 2025

RAND Response to NIST Request for Input on AI 100-5, “A Plan for Global Engagement on AI Standards”

In this paper, the authors respond to a National Institute of Standards and Technology request for input on a plan that aims to advance responsible global technical standards for the development and use of artificial intelligence.

Brodi Kotila, Casey Mahoney, Katherine H. Tucker, Karson Elmgren, Lennart Heim, Ella Guest
Feb 25, 2025

On the Eve of Obstruction—Countering Blockship Attacks: Preventing and Mitigating Attacks Using Ships to Block Key U.S. Waterways

The authors examine the threat of blockship attacks in key U.S. waterways, current and potential measures to reduce the risk of an effective blockship attack, and ways of reducing an attack’s impact by accelerating post-attack clearance.

Scott Savitz, Michelle D. Ziegler, Brian Sattler, Karina Orozco

Expert Insights

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Institutional Risk Analysis Maturity at the U. S. Department of Homeland Security: Risk Maturity Across Federal Organizations

Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty and the Great Acceleration: The Role of Experts and Policy Analysis in a World in Transition

Documenting Cloud Labs and Examining How Remotely Operated Automated Laboratories Could Enable Bad Actors

Charting Multiple Courses to Artificial General Intelligence

U.S. Options for Identifying Third-Party Suppliers to Meet Ally and Partner Capability Needs

Central Bank Digital Currency Design Choices and Effect on Law Enforcement: Key Insights

A New Agenda for School Safety Research: Insights from a RAND Roundtable Discussion

Hezbollah's Networks in Latin America: Potential Implications for U.S. Policy and Research

Policy Options to Prevent the Creation of Mirror Organisms

To Improve Hebrew Proficiency Among Arabs in Israel, Make It Worthwhile

RAND Response to NIST Request for Input on AI 100-5, “A Plan for Global Engagement on AI Standards”

On the Eve of Obstruction—Countering Blockship Attacks: Preventing and Mitigating Attacks Using Ships to Block Key U.S. Waterways

Oops! An unexpected error has occurred.

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Expert Insights

Error

Institutional Risk Analysis Maturity at the U. S. Department of Homeland Security: Risk Maturity Across Federal Organizations

Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty and the Great Acceleration: The Role of Experts and Policy Analysis in a World in Transition

Documenting Cloud Labs and Examining How Remotely Operated Automated Laboratories Could Enable Bad Actors

Charting Multiple Courses to Artificial General Intelligence

U.S. Options for Identifying Third-Party Suppliers to Meet Ally and Partner Capability Needs

Central Bank Digital Currency Design Choices and Effect on Law Enforcement: Key Insights

A New Agenda for School Safety Research: Insights from a RAND Roundtable Discussion

Hezbollah's Networks in Latin America: Potential Implications for U.S. Policy and Research

Policy Options to Prevent the Creation of Mirror Organisms

To Improve Hebrew Proficiency Among Arabs in Israel, Make It Worthwhile

RAND Response to NIST Request for Input on AI 100-5, “A Plan for Global Engagement on AI Standards”

On the Eve of Obstruction—Countering Blockship Attacks: Preventing and Mitigating Attacks Using Ships to Block Key U.S. Waterways

Oops! An unexpected error has occurred.