Bryan Frederick — Publications
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Beyond the Eye of the Storm: Mapping Out a Comprehensive Research Agenda for the National Security Implications of Climate Change
2024
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The Aftermath of a Great Power War
2023
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Alternative Futures Following a Great Power War: Volume 1, Scenarios, Findings, and Recommendations
2023
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Escalation in the War in Ukraine: Lessons Learned and Risks for the Future
2023
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Future U.S. Peacetime Policy Toward Russia: Exploring the Benefits and Costs of a Less-Hardline Approach
2023
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Greater Conflict-Phase Access to Asia: U.S. Policies for Five Indo-Pacific Countries
2023
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Improving Conflict-Phase Access: Identifying U.S. Policy Levers
2023
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Managing the Escalation Risks of U.S. Military Activities in the Indo-Pacific
2023
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Proxy Warfare in Strategic Competition: Overarching Findings and Recommendations
2023
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Proxy Warfare in Strategic Competition: State Motivations and Future Trends
2023
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Proxy Warfare in Strategic Competition: Military Implications
2023
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Understanding the Risk of Escalation in the War in Ukraine
2023
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What Should Future U.S. Policy Toward Russia Be in Peacetime? Evaluating Trade-Offs of a Less-Hardline Approach
2023
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Anticipating Chinese Reactions to U.S. Posture Enhancements
2022
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Competition and Restraint in Cyberspace: The Role of International Norms in Promoting U.S. Cybersecurity
2022
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Countering Chinese Coercion: Multilateral Responses to PRC Economic Pressure Campaigns
2022
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Forecasting Demand for U.S. Ground Forces: Assessing Future Trends in Armed Conflict and U.S. Military Interventions
2022
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Forecasting Demand for U.S. Ground Forces: An Interactive Tool
2022
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Managing Escalation While Competing Effectively in the Indo-Pacific
2022
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Pathways to Russian Escalation Against NATO from the Ukraine War
2022
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Responding to a Limited Russian Attack on NATO During the Ukraine War
2022
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Understanding a New Era of Strategic Competition
2022
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Anticipating Adversary Military Interventions
2021
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Assessing Trade-Offs in U.S. Military Intervention Decisions: Whether, When, and with What Size Force to Intervene
2021
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Can the U.S. Military Strengthen Deterrence by Becoming More Operationally Unpredictable?
2021
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China's Military Interventions: Patterns, Drivers, and Signposts
2021
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Iran's Military Interventions: Patterns, Drivers, and Signposts
2021
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Operational Unpredictability and Deterrence: Evaluating Options for Complicating Adversary Decisionmaking
2021
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Russia's Military Interventions: Patterns, Drivers, and Signposts
2021
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Stabilizing Great-Power Rivalries
2021
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Understanding Influence in the Strategic Competition with China
2021
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The Future of Warfare Boxed Set
2020
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The Future of Warfare in 2030: Project Overview and Conclusions
2020
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Peering into the Crystal Ball: Holistically Assessing the Future of Warfare
2020
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Restraint and the Future of Warfare: The Changing Global Environment and Its Implications for the U.S. Air Force
2020
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Understanding the Deterrent Impact of U.S. Overseas Forces
2020
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Characteristics of Successful U.S. Military Interventions
2019
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Extending Russia: Competing from Advantageous Ground
2019
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Overextending and Unbalancing Russia: Assessing the Impact of Cost-Imposing Options
2019
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Implementing Safe Areas: Lessons from History
2018
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Religion, Conflict, and Stability in the Former Soviet Union
2018
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U.S. Presence and the Incidence of Conflict
2018
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What Deters and Why: Exploring Requirements for Effective Deterrence of Interstate Aggression
2018
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Assessing Russian Reactions to U.S. and NATO Posture Enhancements
2017
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Building Armies, Building Nations: Toward a New Approach to Security Force Assistance
2017
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Conflict Trends and Conflict Drivers: An Empirical Assessment of Historical Conflict Patterns and Future Conflict Projections
2017
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Limited Intervention: Evaluating the Effectiveness of Limited Stabilization, Limited Strike, and Containment Operations
2017
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A More Peaceful World? Regional Conflict Trends and U.S. Defense Planning
2017
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NATO's Northeastern Flank: Emerging Opportunities for Engagement
2017
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The Past, Present, and Future of U.S. Ground Interventions: Identifying Trends, Characteristics, and Signposts
2017
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Understanding Conflict Trends: A Review of the Social Science Literature on the Causes of Conflict
2017
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What Are the Trends in Armed Conflicts, and What Do They Mean for U.S. Defense Policy?
2017
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NATO's Northeastern Flank — Emerging Opportunities for Engagement: An Overview
2016
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Security Sector Reform in Ukraine
2016
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The Continued Evolution of U.S. Law of Armed Conflict Implementation: Implications for the U.S. Military
2015
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The Conflict in Syria: Understanding and Avoiding Regional Spillover Effects
2014
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Spillover from the Conflict in Syria: An Assessment of the Factors that Aid and Impede the Spread of Violence
2014
